Ferriolense vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ATB
3 - 1
FER
57%
23%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
FER
3 - 0
SOL
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
FER
0 - 0
ADC
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 2
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
FER
0 - 1
BNS
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
PBL
4 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
BNS
1 - 1
PBL
57%
24%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
PBL
2 - 2
MNU
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
MHN
1 - 1
PBL
41%
28%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
PBL
1 - 2
ALC
52%
25%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |