Ferriolense vs Penya Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
FER
3 - 3
SPO
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
VIL
4 - 0
FER
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
FER
3 - 1
MNC
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CLL
2 - 1
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
FER
1 - 1
SNF
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
BNS
1 - 1
PXD
27%
29%
44%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PXD
4 - 1
CFP
63%
23%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
UDA
1 - 1
PXD
33%
28%
39%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
PXD
3 - 1
ALA
62%
23%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
IBI
0 - 0
PXD
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |