Ferreira de Aves vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferreira de Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
RDA
4 - 1
FAV
87%
10%
4%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FAV
0 - 3
ANA
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
FAV
1 - 5
MAR
21%
21%
59%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 1
FAV
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BEN
4 - 0
FAV
93%
6%
2%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
ADN
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ADM
1 - 0
SER
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
LUS
49%
26%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
GAF
3 - 1
SER
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
MOR
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |