Fernwald vs Waldgirmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
56.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FER
0 - 1
EIN
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 4
FER
40%
25%
36%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
FER
0 - 2
BHE
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
ESC
2 - 0
FER
45%
26%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
FER
2 - 1
WUR
37%
26%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Waldgirmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
WAL
2 - 3
KIC
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
WAL
3 - 3
URB
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
SWM
2 - 5
WAL
14%
20%
67%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
WAL
2 - 0
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BAU
3 - 1
WAL
24%
23%
54%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -2 |