Fernwald vs Waldgirmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
HUN
0 - 0
FER
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
EIN
2 - 1
FER
56%
22%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
LOH
0 - 4
FER
39%
26%
35%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
FER
0 - 0
KKA
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
WOR
3 - 1
FER
56%
24%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Waldgirmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
WAL
2 - 0
BAY
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
FRA
2 - 1
WAL
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
WAL
1 - 2
BAU
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
WAL
3 - 0
HEK
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
KIC
3 - 4
WAL
27%
23%
49%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |