Fernández Vial vs Tomás Greig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 3
FVC
28%
25%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LIM
0 - 3
FVC
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
FVC
1 - 4
JOA
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 2
FVC
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
REN
2 - 5
FVC
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
TOM
0 - 1
BDS
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LAU
2 - 3
TOM
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ACC
3 - 3
TOM
40%
24%
37%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TOM
4 - 2
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 5
TOM
11%
17%
73%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |