Fernández Vial vs Tomás Greig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LIM
2 - 3
FVC
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
JOA
1 - 1
FVC
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FVC
7 - 1
CHI
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FVC
4 - 1
REN
52%
23%
26%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
TAL
2 - 2
FVC
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
TOM
3 - 2
TAL
73%
16%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TOM
0 - 1
ACC
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
EST
2 - 5
TOM
43%
24%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TOM
1 - 1
JUV
86%
10%
4%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DER
3 - 3
TOM
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |