Fernández Vial vs Real San Joaquín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
TOM
1 - 1
FVC
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FVC
5 - 0
CHI
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
FVC
2 - 0
LIM
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
BDS
0 - 1
FVC
34%
25%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
FVC
3 - 1
MEJ
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real San Joaquín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
JOA
7 - 0
CHI
87%
9%
4%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LIM
5 - 1
JOA
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
JOA
4 - 1
MEJ
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
REN
2 - 1
JOA
39%
25%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
GAS
3 - 3
JOA
13%
21%
66%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |