Fernández Vial vs General Velásquez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
JOA
0 - 1
FVC
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
FVC
1 - 0
TOM
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 3
FVC
28%
25%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LIM
0 - 3
FVC
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
FVC
1 - 4
JOA
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
TOM
1 - 2
GVE
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BDS
2 - 1
GVE
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GVE
1 - 1
LAU
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DLI
1 - 3
GVE
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GAS
1 - 2
GVE
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |