Fernández Vial vs Deportes Limache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
FVC
2 - 1
DMQ
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ENF
3 - 3
FVC
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
FVC
2 - 0
TAL
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
DMQ
1 - 2
FVC
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
FVC
4 - 1
ENF
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Limache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
LIM
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
GVE
1 - 0
LIM
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LIM
1 - 3
JOA
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LIM
1 - 0
LAU
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
4 - 0
LIM
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |