Fernández Vial vs Chimbarongo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
FVC
2 - 0
LIM
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
BDS
0 - 1
FVC
34%
25%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
FVC
3 - 1
MEJ
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
LAU
2 - 1
FVC
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
FVC
2 - 2
REN
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chimbarongo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
MEJ
2 - 1
CHI
67%
17%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
REN
1 - 0
CHI
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 3
GAS
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
OVA
3 - 0
CHI
68%
19%
14%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 3
GVE
22%
24%
55%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -2 |