Fermana vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
SAM
1 - 1
FER
91%
7%
2%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
FER
1 - 0
ATL
8%
24%
68%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
RAV
1 - 0
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
FER
1 - 1
COS
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
GEN
1 - 1
FER
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
TER
1 - 1
SAL
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
ASS
2 - 2
TER
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
TER
1 - 1
EMP
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
TER
1 - 0
PIS
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
FCS
0 - 1
TER
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |