Fermana vs RC Angolana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
TER
3 - 0
FER
55%
23%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
FCC
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
FAN
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 5
FER
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
GIU
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
RC Angolana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
RCA
2 - 1
GIU
29%
26%
45%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ISE
0 - 2
RCA
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
RCA
0 - 0
MAC
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
REC
1 - 2
RCA
54%
25%
21%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RCA
1 - 1
JES
25%
25%
50%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |