Fermana vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
60.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
PIS
1 - 1
FER
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
FER
1 - 1
EMP
20%
25%
56%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
FER
2 - 1
TER
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
SAM
1 - 1
FER
91%
7%
2%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
FER
1 - 0
ATL
8%
24%
68%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
NAP
2 - 2
ASS
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
RAV
0 - 0
NAP
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2000 |
GEN
0 - 1
NAP
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
NAP
0 - 0
PIS
75%
18%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
BRE
3 - 1
NAP
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |