Ferlach vs Lind analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.4%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.3%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.7%
3.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
LEN
2 - 1
FLC
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
FLC
2 - 3
ANB
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
RAP
0 - 4
FLC
7%
15%
79%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
FLC
4 - 1
FEL
86%
10%
5%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FLC
3 - 1
TRE
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lind
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
SVL
2 - 0
TRE
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
MSA
3 - 0
SVL
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SVL
0 - 4
WAC
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GMD
3 - 1
SVL
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SVL
3 - 0
SPI
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |