Fênix 2005 FC vs Itaperuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fênix 2005 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
AFC
0 - 2
FFC
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2010 |
FFC
1 - 2
NOV
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
CFZ
0 - 2
FFC
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
FFC
1 - 0
QUI
26%
24%
51%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
SEC
2 - 0
FFC
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Itaperuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 0
SEC
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2010 |
BON
2 - 0
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 2
SAM
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 3
CAB
31%
25%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
QUI
5 - 0
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |