Afragolese vs Savoia 1908 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
AFR
2 - 0
GLA
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
AFR
81%
13%
7%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 0
AFR
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
AFR
0 - 2
FOR
29%
21%
49%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 0
AFR
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Savoia 1908
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 0
VIS
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
NOC
0 - 0
FCS
28%
28%
44%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 0
MON
47%
27%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 0
HYR
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SAS
0 - 0
FCS
24%
27%
49%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |