FC Vaduz vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 2
WIL
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCV
55%
23%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 0
WIN
40%
25%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
WOH
1 - 0
FCV
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
FCV
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 2
WIN
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WOH
1 - 1
LUG
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 1
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 3
FCA
36%
26%
39%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BIE
1 - 1
LUG
43%
24%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |