Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
GRO
2 - 0
UTR
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
UTR
1 - 5
PSV
25%
27%
48%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
GRO
3 - 1
UTR
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
UTR
2 - 2
GRO
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
UTR
1 - 0
GRO
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 3
WIL
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 1
FEY
20%
22%
58%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 3
SCH
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |