Utrecht vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
TWE
1 - 1
UTR
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 1
UTR
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
UTR
2 - 3
AJA
36%
24%
40%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
UTR
0 - 0
NAC
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
35%
26%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
GRA
2 - 0
RBC
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
RKC
4 - 2
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
GRA
2 - 2
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
GRO
2 - 0
GRA
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 0
FEY
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |