Utrecht vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
AZA
0 - 1
UTR
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
SPA
3 - 0
UTR
47%
25%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
UTR
1 - 0
TWE
36%
26%
39%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
UTR
1 - 0
NEC
58%
22%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
UTR
2 - 3
PSV
18%
20%
62%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
SPA
2 - 1
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
GRA
1 - 2
PSV
16%
20%
65%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
BOS
1 - 1
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
GRA
0 - 0
RJC
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
GRA
2 - 2
BVO
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |