Utrecht vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
UTR
1 - 1
RJC
20%
26%
54%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
UTR
1 - 0
VOL
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
UTR
3 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
FEY
2 - 1
UTR
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1996 |
UTR
0 - 0
WIL
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 0
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
GRA
1 - 0
VOL
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1996 |
SCH
2 - 1
GRA
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
RJC
3 - 0
GRA
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |