Unterstrass vs Collina d'Oro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
16º
15º
64
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unterstrass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZOF
0 - 3
FCU
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 2
LUZ
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 0
FCU
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 3
ZUG
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 2
FCU
26%
21%
53%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
3 - 1
PER
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SCE
1 - 2
FCC
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 0
LOC
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BUO
2 - 0
FCC
31%
22%
48%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -3 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ZOF
1 - 1
FCC
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |