Ueberstorf vs Tavannes / Tramelan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
36%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-69%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
13º
11º
41
5º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ueberstorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCU
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCU
2 - 1
CON
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
FCU
6 - 2
THI
82%
12%
7%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
TPA
4 - 1
FCU
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
TER
3 - 1
FCU
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Tavannes / Tramelan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TAV
1 - 1
FCE
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TAV
2 - 1
PRA
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
TAV
0 - 1
LAU
10%
15%
74%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 4
TAV
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TAV
1 - 2
FCC
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |