Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
ADO
1 - 0
TWE
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
RBC
1 - 2
TWE
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
TWE
1 - 2
VOL
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
GRO
1 - 0
TWE
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
UTR
2 - 0
TWE
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 1
VIT
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VOL
0 - 1
WIL
30%
25%
46%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
NEC
4 - 0
WIL
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 1
PSV
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
RJC
6 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |