Twente vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
TWE
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
TWE
1 - 2
SPA
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
FEY
3 - 1
TWE
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
TWE
3 - 1
GRO
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2008 |
NEC
2 - 2
TWE
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
HER
0 - 2
NEC
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
VVV
0 - 5
HER
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
HER
2 - 0
EXC
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 0
HER
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
BOS
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |