Twente vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
TWE
0 - 5
PSV
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 2
TWE
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 2
TWE
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 0
ZWO
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 2
TWE
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ZWO
1 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 0
ZWO
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ZWO
6 - 1
BVO
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
ZWO
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |