Twente vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
FEY
1 - 4
TWE
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
TWE
0 - 0
RKC
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 0
TWE
22%
26%
52%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
TWE
0 - 0
OSA
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
BOC
3 - 0
TWE
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 0
UTR
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
UTR
1 - 1
GAE
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 3
DIF
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
DIF
2 - 1
UTR
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
UTR
1 - 2
TWE
37%
25%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |