Twente vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 0
STB
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 4
TWE
15%
22%
62%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
STB
0 - 1
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
TWE
2 - 3
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TWE
4 - 1
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UTR
3 - 0
AZA
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
ADO
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 2
UTR
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 0
UTR
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
PSV
22%
24%
55%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |