Türkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Alsterbruder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.6%
12.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
15º
13º
25
8º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
THA
2 - 2
WIL
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
NIE
22%
19%
59%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 3
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 3
ALT
22%
23%
55%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
WIL
7 - 0
UTO
50%
20%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ATB
0 - 6
ETH
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
ATB
69%
15%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DAS
1 - 0
ATB
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ATB
0 - 1
SAS
13%
15%
72%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
UTO
4 - 3
ATB
57%
19%
24%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |