Türkiye Wilhelmsburg vs TSV Buchholz 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
43.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
15º
13º
46
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
VOW
2 - 4
WIL
70%
15%
15%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
4 - 0
ATB
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
THA
2 - 2
WIL
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
NIE
22%
19%
59%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 3
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
TSV Buchholz 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
BUC
4 - 2
ETH
36%
24%
39%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 6
BUC
27%
20%
53%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
4 - 2
HAL
49%
21%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DAS
4 - 0
BUC
81%
12%
6%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
3 - 0
WAN
66%
17%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |