FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
12º
11º
38
8º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
KAW
1 - 0
FCT
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
AVI
2 - 0
FCT
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 0
AVI
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 2
AVI
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 2
VIS
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
YFM
1 - 1
SAG
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAG
0 - 2
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAG
1 - 1
GAM
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KAA
2 - 1
SAG
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
SAG
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |