FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
OMI
0 - 1
FCT
30%
28%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
BRI
0 - 2
FCT
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
KAR
2 - 1
FCT
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
KYO
2 - 4
FCT
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2011 |
FCT
1 - 0
CER
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NAG
1 - 0
SHI
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
NAG
2 - 2
SEO
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
NAG
0 - 0
YFM
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
NAG
3 - 3
KAR
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 1
NAG
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |