FC Thuringen vs SpVgg Geratal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
52.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thuringen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FCT
1 - 3
FSM
35%
21%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
SVE
3 - 0
FCT
30%
22%
49%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
FCT
3 - 3
SGE
32%
21%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
WEN
5 - 3
FCT
80%
12%
8%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
FCT
5 - 0
SCH
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
SpVgg Geratal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SGE
2 - 0
SVE
70%
16%
14%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 1
SGE
11%
15%
74%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
FCT
3 - 3
SGE
32%
21%
46%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SGE
5 - 1
SCW
73%
16%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
SEE
2 - 1
SGE
21%
20%
60%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |