Tavannes / Tramelan vs Spiez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
15º
9º
22
2º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 95% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tavannes / Tramelan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DUD
1 - 1
TAV
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LAU
1 - 2
TAV
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
TAV
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TAV
4 - 3
MAT
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ROM
1 - 2
TAV
32%
24%
44%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 1
FCS
58%
19%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
DUD
21%
18%
61%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
LAU
7%
11%
82%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TPA
4 - 1
FCS
68%
16%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 0
FCS
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |