Tarigrad vs Grănicerul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
10º
8º
14
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 49 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 48 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 46 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CFR
1 - 2
FCT
13%
17%
71%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 3
ARO
46%
22%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 6
FCO
38%
21%
41%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VCU
0 - 1
FCT
56%
21%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 1
FCV
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grănicerul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 2
EFV
28%
22%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CFS
3 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 1
FCP
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SIN
2 - 0
GRA
90%
7%
3%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 0
FCE
15%
18%
67%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |