FC Sursee vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FCA
3 - 1
FCS
14%
21%
65%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
FCS
1 - 3
BUO
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
IBA
4 - 1
FCS
33%
24%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -3 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 4
FCS
28%
24%
49%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
FCS
1 - 0
GOL
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
AAR
1 - 0
SCH
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LSS
1 - 0
AAR
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AAR
2 - 0
OLT
64%
20%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LUZ
0 - 0
AAR
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 6
AAR
17%
22%
62%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |