Serrieres Neuchatel vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrieres Neuchatel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BUL
1 - 1
SEN
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
NAT
0 - 0
SEN
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
SEN
3 - 0
FCS
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
FRI
4 - 0
SEN
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 3
SEN
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
FMS
0 - 5
ETO
17%
23%
61%
|
55 | 15 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ETO
5 - 0
MEY
74%
18%
9%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
FRI
2 - 2
ETO
17%
23%
60%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
BUL
4 - 0
ETO
27%
26%
48%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
ETO
8 - 0
FCS
80%
15%
6%
|
58 | 17 | 41 | -1 |