Santos vs Caravan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
TAM
4 - 4
SFC
79%
13%
9%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BOM
10 - 1
SFC
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SFC
2 - 0
KAM
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ACO
1 - 1
SFC
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SFC
1 - 3
PAP
19%
21%
61%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Caravan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 2
CAR
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
INR
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
KAM
1 - 3
CAR
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 2
TAM
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BOM
1 - 1
CAR
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |