Porto vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
FCP
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
FCP
5 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2003 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2003 |
LAZ
0 - 0
FCP
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 1
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
VAR
3 - 2
VST
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
VAR
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 2
UDL
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
SLB
2 - 1
VAR
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 0
BMA
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |