Porto vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2001 |
FCP
1 - 0
RBK
58%
20%
22%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 1
FCP
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
JUV
3 - 1
FCP
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
FCP
1 - 2
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2001 |
FCP
3 - 0
CEL
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
UDL
4 - 1
BMA
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
VST
1 - 1
UDL
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
UDL
1 - 1
SLB
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 0
UDL
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
UDL
2 - 0
MAR
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |