Porto vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.3%
Win probability
4.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.3%
8-0
2%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.9%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
1.5%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.5%
6-0
5.8%
7-1
2.8%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
9.2%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
4.4%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
13.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
6%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.9%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
4.8%
2.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
VIT
0 - 3
FCP
31%
20%
48%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
VST
3 - 2
FCP
26%
21%
53%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
FCP
7 - 1
ACA
75%
13%
13%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCP
80%
11%
9%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
FCP
0 - 2
BEL
54%
20%
26%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 1
VST
44%
22%
34%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
ACA
2 - 1
LUS
78%
12%
10%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 7
SLB
6%
11%
83%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
BEL
5 - 0
LUS
93%
5%
2%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
LUS
2 - 1
SPB
25%
21%
55%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |