Porto vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 1
ROM
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 3
FCP
20%
25%
55%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 0
VIL
49%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 2
FCP
22%
24%
54%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 1
FCP
48%
25%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
FEI
70%
20%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
PAÇ
49%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
EST
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
ARO
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |