Porto vs Belenenses SAD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 3
FCP
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
FCP
5 - 1
FAR
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 2
FAM
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
FCP
13%
20%
66%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 2
SAN
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
TON
1 - 3
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 0
POR
42%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
BEL
52%
27%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 1
GFC
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |