Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 4
FCP
10%
19%
71%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 4
FCP
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 0
MOR
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 3
FCP
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
47%
23%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
ESA
0 - 4
SLB
4%
11%
85%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
TON
89%
9%
2%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
SLB
14%
20%
67%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
SLB
2 - 1
POR
89%
9%
3%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
47%
23%
30%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |