Pepeni vs FC Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
65.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
12º
3º
29
8º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 49 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 48 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 46 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pepeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
VCU
5 - 2
FCP
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 2
FCT
36%
22%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CFS
1 - 0
FCP
77%
13%
10%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 2
FCE
16%
20%
64%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
EFV
1 - 1
FCP
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 0
SIN
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FCE
2 - 1
FCO
69%
17%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 1
FCO
12%
15%
73%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
EFV
1 - 5
FCO
25%
23%
53%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 2
CRU
42%
25%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |