FC Olimpia vs Grănicerul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
8º
12º
9º
14
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 49 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 48 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 46 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
CFR
1 - 5
FCO
6%
10%
84%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 3
ARO
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 2
FCV
82%
12%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCO
0 - 0
VCU
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 6
FCO
38%
21%
41%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Grănicerul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 2
VCU
16%
19%
66%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 0
GRA
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 2
EFV
28%
22%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CFS
3 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 1
FCP
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |