FC Olimpia vs Pepeni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
8º
12º
9º
39
2º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 49 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 48 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 46 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SIN
3 - 1
FCO
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCO
3 - 1
FCE
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCO
2 - 2
ISK
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 6
FCO
21%
18%
61%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCO
3 - 1
CFR
84%
10%
5%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Pepeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 1
VCU
61%
19%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 3
FCP
43%
22%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
EFV
0 - 2
FCP
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 2
CFS
54%
20%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 0
FCV
75%
14%
11%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |