Nürnberg vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BYM
4 - 0
FCN
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 2
FCN
22%
26%
53%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCN
2 - 2
STU
26%
25%
50%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
WOL
2 - 1
FCN
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FCN
3 - 3
M05
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
SCF
0 - 1
LEV
17%
22%
62%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
KAI
1 - 0
SCF
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 2
HSV
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 0
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
S04
4 - 2
SCF
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |