Nürnberg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AUG
0 - 0
FCN
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
FCN
0 - 2
BVB
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
HAN
1 - 0
FCN
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FCN
2 - 0
HER
38%
27%
36%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
FCN
4 - 1
GRA
67%
21%
13%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
KOL
0 - 1
HSV
32%
24%
43%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
KAI
0 - 1
KOL
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
KOL
1 - 4
S04
23%
25%
53%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
WOL
1 - 0
KOL
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
BYM
3 - 0
KOL
82%
13%
6%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |